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Pro Basketball 2nd Half Spread

KXNBA2HSPREAD · Sports
257 events490 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots
19¢3.9%4.0%2675
1019¢14.0%17.5%2257
2029¢24.1%21.4%2442
3039¢35.2%30.8%2539
4049¢44.1%44.7%2338
5059¢53.7%43.8%1516
6069¢64.7%77.8%99
7079¢73.5%63.6%911
8089¢84.8%100.0%46
9099¢95.8%100.0%35