Pro Basketball 2nd Half Spread

KXNBA2HSPREAD · Sports

257 events490 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢4.0% actually happened

avg price 3.9%26 events75 snapshots

10–19¢17.5% actually happened

avg price 14.0%22 events57 snapshots

20–29¢21.4% actually happened

avg price 24.1%24 events42 snapshots

30–39¢30.8% actually happened

avg price 35.2%25 events39 snapshots

40–49¢44.7% actually happened

avg price 44.1%23 events38 snapshots

50–59¢43.8% actually happened

avg price 53.7%15 events16 snapshots

60–69¢77.8% actually happened

avg price 64.7%9 events9 snapshots

70–79¢63.6% actually happened

avg price 73.5%9 events11 snapshots

80–89¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 84.8%4 events6 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 95.8%3 events5 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢3.9%4.0%2675

10–19¢14.0%17.5%2257

20–29¢24.1%21.4%2442

30–39¢35.2%30.8%2539

40–49¢44.1%44.7%2338

50–59¢53.7%43.8%1516

60–69¢64.7%77.8%99

70–79¢73.5%63.6%911

80–89¢84.8%100.0%46

90–99¢95.8%100.0%35