Pro Basketball 1st Half Total Points

KXNBA1HTOTAL · Sports

302 events460 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well above their price — historically underpriced.

Contracts averaging 52¢ resolved YES 87.1% of the time (k=57).

“Sure things” here delivered even more than priced in — favorites were historically underpriced.

Contracts averaging 86¢ resolved YES 94.2% of the time (k=60).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢1.5%0.0%23115

10–19¢14.1%37.5%78

20–29¢25.3%50.0%88

30–39¢34.1%66.7%99

40–49¢44.6%81.3%1516

50–59¢54.4%94.1%1517

60–69¢65.3%95.0%1820

70–79¢74.6%96.2%1926

80–89¢83.9%86.7%2130

90–99¢97.7%100.0%2030