Pro Basketball 1st Half Total Points

KXNBA1HTOTAL · Sports

302 events460 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well above their price — historically underpriced.

Contracts averaging 52¢ resolved YES 87.1% of the time (k=57).

“Sure things” here delivered even more than priced in — favorites were historically underpriced.

Contracts averaging 86¢ resolved YES 94.2% of the time (k=60).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 1.5%23 events115 snapshots

10–19¢37.5% actually happened

avg price 14.1%7 events8 snapshots

20–29¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 25.3%8 events8 snapshots

30–39¢66.7% actually happened

avg price 34.1%9 events9 snapshots

40–49¢81.3% actually happened

avg price 44.6%15 events16 snapshots

50–59¢94.1% actually happened

avg price 54.4%15 events17 snapshots

60–69¢95.0% actually happened

avg price 65.3%18 events20 snapshots

70–79¢96.2% actually happened

avg price 74.6%19 events26 snapshots

80–89¢86.7% actually happened

avg price 83.9%21 events30 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 97.7%20 events30 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢1.5%0.0%23115

10–19¢14.1%37.5%78

20–29¢25.3%50.0%88

30–39¢34.1%66.7%99

40–49¢44.6%81.3%1516

50–59¢54.4%94.1%1517

60–69¢65.3%95.0%1820

70–79¢74.6%96.2%1926

80–89¢83.9%86.7%2130

90–99¢97.7%100.0%2030