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Pro Basketball 1st Half Spread

KXNBA1HSPREAD · Sports
313 events820 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢4.3% actually happened
avg price 4.8%31 events188 snapshots
10–19¢9.0% actually happened
avg price 14.0%31 events89 snapshots
20–29¢22.1% actually happened
avg price 24.9%30 events68 snapshots
30–39¢34.0% actually happened
avg price 33.9%28 events53 snapshots
40–49¢45.7% actually happened
avg price 43.8%28 events35 snapshots
50–59¢46.7% actually happened
avg price 53.7%15 events15 snapshots
60–69¢66.7% actually happened
avg price 63.7%6 events6 snapshots
70–79¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 72.0%1 events1 snapshots