NASCAR Top 3 Finishers

KXNASCARTOP3 · Sports

235 events1,076 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 47¢ resolved YES 23.3% of the time (k=48).

“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.

Contracts averaging 89¢ resolved YES 69.0% of the time (k=30).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.8% actually happened

avg price 2.7%24 events370 snapshots

10–19¢7.0% actually happened

avg price 12.7%14 events57 snapshots

20–29¢11.1% actually happened

avg price 23.6%13 events36 snapshots

30–39¢18.8% actually happened

avg price 34.4%11 events16 snapshots

40–49¢15.9% actually happened

avg price 45.8%17 events44 snapshots

50–59¢28.6% actually happened

avg price 51.3%13 events21 snapshots

60–69¢55.6% actually happened

avg price 63.7%7 events9 snapshots

70–79¢47.1% actually happened

avg price 74.1%10 events17 snapshots

80–89¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 84.9%6 events10 snapshots

90–99¢87.1% actually happened

avg price 97.6%14 events31 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢2.7%0.8%24370

10–19¢12.7%7.0%1457

20–29¢23.6%11.1%1336

30–39¢34.4%18.8%1116

40–49¢45.8%15.9%1744

50–59¢51.3%28.6%1321

60–69¢63.7%55.6%79

70–79¢74.1%47.1%1017

80–89¢84.9%50.0%610

90–99¢97.6%87.1%1431