NASCAR Top 10 Finishers

KXNASCARTOP10 · Sports

336 events1,323 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 48¢ resolved YES 42.6% of the time (k=50).

“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.

Contracts averaging 94¢ resolved YES 78.2% of the time (k=46).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢2.7% actually happened

avg price 2.5%24 events331 snapshots

10–19¢9.6% actually happened

avg price 13.2%17 events52 snapshots

20–29¢14.3% actually happened

avg price 24.2%18 events42 snapshots

30–39¢34.5% actually happened

avg price 33.1%14 events29 snapshots

40–49¢32.1% actually happened

avg price 43.4%12 events28 snapshots

50–59¢51.4% actually happened

avg price 54.7%14 events35 snapshots

60–69¢52.2% actually happened

avg price 64.2%10 events23 snapshots

70–79¢53.8% actually happened

avg price 75.1%13 events26 snapshots

80–89¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 84.5%9 events10 snapshots

90–99¢84.1% actually happened

avg price 98.0%24 events157 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢2.5%2.7%24331

10–19¢13.2%9.6%1752

20–29¢24.2%14.3%1842

30–39¢33.1%34.5%1429

40–49¢43.4%32.1%1228

50–59¢54.7%51.4%1435

60–69¢64.2%52.2%1023

70–79¢75.1%53.8%1326

80–89¢84.5%50.0%910

90–99¢98.0%84.1%24157