NASCAR Race

KXNASCARRACE · Sports

150 events1,795 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.2% actually happened

avg price 1.5%26 events849 snapshots

10–19¢3.8% actually happened

avg price 14.4%14 events26 snapshots

20–29¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 24.9%7 events10 snapshots

30–39¢30.0% actually happened

avg price 35.1%9 events10 snapshots

40–49¢40.0% actually happened

avg price 45.0%5 events5 snapshots

50–59¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 56.5%2 events2 snapshots

60–69¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 68.0%2 events2 snapshots

70–79¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 73.0%2 events2 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 98.4%9 events9 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢1.5%0.2%26849

10–19¢14.4%3.8%1426

20–29¢24.9%50.0%710

30–39¢35.1%30.0%910

40–49¢45.0%40.0%55

50–59¢56.5%50.0%22

60–69¢68.0%50.0%22

70–79¢73.0%100.0%22

90–99¢98.4%100.0%99