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MLS Total

KXMLSTOTAL · Sports
518 events526 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Cheap contracts here resolved well below their price — longshot buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 17¢ resolved YES 11.8% of the time (k=51).
Mid-priced contracts here resolved well above their price — historically underpriced.
Contracts averaging 49¢ resolved YES 58.2% of the time (k=95).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢16.7% actually happened
avg price 7.0%6 events6 snapshots
10–19¢7.4% actually happened
avg price 14.7%27 events27 snapshots
20–29¢16.7% actually happened
avg price 24.4%18 events18 snapshots
30–39¢57.7% actually happened
avg price 34.7%26 events26 snapshots
40–49¢32.0% actually happened
avg price 45.2%24 events25 snapshots
50–59¢71.9% actually happened
avg price 55.4%30 events32 snapshots
60–69¢73.3% actually happened
avg price 65.1%15 events15 snapshots
70–79¢67.7% actually happened
avg price 74.8%31 events31 snapshots
80–89¢87.1% actually happened
avg price 84.0%29 events31 snapshots
90–99¢96.0% actually happened
avg price 94.2%22 events25 snapshots