MLS Total

KXMLSTOTAL · Sports

518 events526 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Cheap contracts here resolved well below their price — longshot buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 17¢ resolved YES 11.8% of the time (k=51).

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well above their price — historically underpriced.

Contracts averaging 49¢ resolved YES 58.2% of the time (k=95).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢16.7% actually happened

avg price 7.0%6 events6 snapshots

10–19¢7.4% actually happened

avg price 14.7%27 events27 snapshots

20–29¢16.7% actually happened

avg price 24.4%18 events18 snapshots

30–39¢57.7% actually happened

avg price 34.7%26 events26 snapshots

40–49¢32.0% actually happened

avg price 45.2%24 events25 snapshots

50–59¢71.9% actually happened

avg price 55.4%30 events32 snapshots

60–69¢73.3% actually happened

avg price 65.1%15 events15 snapshots

70–79¢67.7% actually happened

avg price 74.8%31 events31 snapshots

80–89¢87.1% actually happened

avg price 84.0%29 events31 snapshots

90–99¢96.0% actually happened

avg price 94.2%22 events25 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢7.0%16.7%66

10–19¢14.7%7.4%2727

20–29¢24.4%16.7%1818

30–39¢34.7%57.7%2626

40–49¢45.2%32.0%2425

50–59¢55.4%71.9%3032

60–69¢65.1%73.3%1515

70–79¢74.8%67.7%3131

80–89¢84.0%87.1%2931

90–99¢94.2%96.0%2225