MLS Spread

KXMLSSPREAD · Sports

348 events488 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢5.6% actually happened

avg price 4.3%58 events108 snapshots

10–19¢7.6% actually happened

avg price 13.8%44 events66 snapshots

20–29¢14.8% actually happened

avg price 24.2%26 events27 snapshots

30–39¢35.3% actually happened

avg price 33.6%17 events17 snapshots

40–49¢33.3% actually happened

avg price 45.0%6 events6 snapshots

50–59¢33.3% actually happened

avg price 52.0%3 events3 snapshots

60–69¢60.0% actually happened

avg price 63.0%5 events5 snapshots

70–79¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 73.5%2 events2 snapshots

80–89¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 82.5%2 events2 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢4.3%5.6%58108

10–19¢13.8%7.6%4466

20–29¢24.2%14.8%2627

30–39¢33.6%35.3%1717

40–49¢45.0%33.3%66

50–59¢52.0%33.3%33

60–69¢63.0%60.0%55

70–79¢73.5%100.0%22

80–89¢82.5%100.0%22