Major League Soccer Game

KXMLSGAME · Sports

425 events524 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 5.2%9 events13 snapshots

10–19¢22.7% actually happened

avg price 15.9%19 events22 snapshots

20–29¢23.7% actually happened

avg price 24.7%45 events59 snapshots

30–39¢32.1% actually happened

avg price 33.1%21 events28 snapshots

40–49¢38.9% actually happened

avg price 44.7%18 events18 snapshots

50–59¢60.0% actually happened

avg price 55.3%15 events15 snapshots

60–69¢46.2% actually happened

avg price 65.5%13 events13 snapshots

70–79¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 73.7%3 events3 snapshots

80–89¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 81.5%2 events2 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 93.0%4 events4 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢5.2%0.0%913

10–19¢15.9%22.7%1922

20–29¢24.7%23.7%4559

30–39¢33.1%32.1%2128

40–49¢44.7%38.9%1818

50–59¢55.3%60.0%1515

60–69¢65.5%46.2%1313

70–79¢73.7%100.0%33

80–89¢81.5%100.0%22

90–99¢93.0%100.0%44