Pro Baseball Team Total

KXMLBTEAMTOTAL · Sports

8,703 events16,695 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 47¢ resolved YES 36.8% of the time (k=2,403).

“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.

Contracts averaging 92¢ resolved YES 84.8% of the time (k=1,802).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢10.6% actually happened

avg price 5.5%523 events1,218 snapshots

10–19¢9.8% actually happened

avg price 14.5%742 events1,689 snapshots

20–29¢16.8% actually happened

avg price 24.2%722 events1,281 snapshots

30–39¢27.1% actually happened

avg price 34.6%691 events1,204 snapshots

40–49¢32.3% actually happened

avg price 44.3%604 events901 snapshots

50–59¢42.9% actually happened

avg price 54.1%577 events818 snapshots

60–69¢52.0% actually happened

avg price 64.4%531 events714 snapshots

70–79¢58.0% actually happened

avg price 74.6%529 events724 snapshots

80–89¢66.3% actually happened

avg price 84.2%527 events721 snapshots

90–99¢95.3% actually happened

avg price 98.3%746 events3,129 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢5.5%10.6%5231,218

10–19¢14.5%9.8%7421,689

20–29¢24.2%16.8%7221,281

30–39¢34.6%27.1%6911,204

40–49¢44.3%32.3%604901

50–59¢54.1%42.9%577818

60–69¢64.4%52.0%531714

70–79¢74.6%58.0%529724

80–89¢84.2%66.3%527721

90–99¢98.3%95.3%7463,129