Pro Baseball Total Bases

KXMLBTB · Sports

6,110 events35,152 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 40¢ resolved YES 28.1% of the time (k=1,892).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢13.1% actually happened

avg price 5.5%880 events11,634 snapshots

10–19¢16.1% actually happened

avg price 13.7%852 events4,996 snapshots

20–29¢21.1% actually happened

avg price 24.3%836 events3,500 snapshots

30–39¢27.4% actually happened

avg price 34.5%816 events3,020 snapshots

40–49¢28.2% actually happened

avg price 43.7%708 events1,810 snapshots

50–59¢30.4% actually happened

avg price 53.6%279 events405 snapshots

60–69¢36.3% actually happened

avg price 62.5%89 events102 snapshots

70–79¢63.6% actually happened

avg price 73.3%19 events22 snapshots

80–89¢76.9% actually happened

avg price 82.2%32 events39 snapshots

90–99¢97.1% actually happened

avg price 98.9%852 events7,801 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢5.5%13.1%88011,634

10–19¢13.7%16.1%8524,996

20–29¢24.3%21.1%8363,500

30–39¢34.5%27.4%8163,020

40–49¢43.7%28.2%7081,810

50–59¢53.6%30.4%279405

60–69¢62.5%36.3%89102

70–79¢73.3%63.6%1922

80–89¢82.2%76.9%3239

90–99¢98.9%97.1%8527,801