Pro Baseball Spread

KXMLBSPREAD · Sports

6,365 events10,517 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢4.2%4.1%7722,024

10–19¢14.2%13.7%6651,371

20–29¢24.2%24.2%617922

30–39¢34.3%35.5%584648

40–49¢44.1%47.1%378401

50–59¢54.5%56.8%298310

60–69¢64.2%65.2%285293

70–79¢74.4%80.9%258288

80–89¢84.3%86.5%221289

90–99¢94.3%86.0%117264