Pro Baseball Run in First Inning

KXMLBRFI · Sports

1,750 events1,750 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 1.0%1 events1 snapshots

30–39¢33.3% actually happened

avg price 38.0%9 events9 snapshots

40–49¢49.4% actually happened

avg price 46.1%466 events466 snapshots

50–59¢54.4% actually happened

avg price 52.6%395 events395 snapshots

60–69¢83.3% actually happened

avg price 62.6%12 events12 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢1.0%0.0%11

30–39¢38.0%33.3%99

40–49¢46.1%49.4%466466

50–59¢52.6%54.4%395395

60–69¢62.6%83.3%1212