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Pro Baseball Run in First Inning

KXMLBRFI · Sports
1,750 events1,750 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 1.0%1 events1 snapshots
30–39¢33.3% actually happened
avg price 38.0%9 events9 snapshots
40–49¢49.4% actually happened
avg price 46.1%466 events466 snapshots
50–59¢54.4% actually happened
avg price 52.6%395 events395 snapshots
60–69¢83.3% actually happened
avg price 62.6%12 events12 snapshots