Pro Baseball Strikeouts

KXMLBKS · Sports

5,289 events13,782 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 48¢ resolved YES 41.7% of the time (k=1,151).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢1.9% actually happened

avg price 2.1%823 events4,528 snapshots

10–19¢9.8% actually happened

avg price 14.2%476 events814 snapshots

20–29¢18.4% actually happened

avg price 24.2%346 events450 snapshots

30–39¢26.1% actually happened

avg price 34.5%312 events429 snapshots

40–49¢39.3% actually happened

avg price 44.6%305 events394 snapshots

50–59¢47.2% actually happened

avg price 54.9%296 events373 snapshots

60–69¢60.6% actually happened

avg price 63.7%238 events297 snapshots

70–79¢70.8% actually happened

avg price 74.5%211 events253 snapshots

80–89¢68.1% actually happened

avg price 85.4%286 events379 snapshots

90–99¢98.5% actually happened

avg price 98.6%843 events4,069 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢2.1%1.9%8234,528

10–19¢14.2%9.8%476814

20–29¢24.2%18.4%346450

30–39¢34.5%26.1%312429

40–49¢44.6%39.3%305394

50–59¢54.9%47.2%296373

60–69¢63.7%60.6%238297

70–79¢74.5%70.8%211253

80–89¢85.4%68.1%286379

90–99¢98.6%98.5%8434,069