Pro Baseball Hits

KXMLBHIT · Sports

4,221 events25,831 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 47¢ resolved YES 34.0% of the time (k=1,691).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢3.5% actually happened

avg price 4.1%516 events8,647 snapshots

10–19¢9.0% actually happened

avg price 12.9%510 events3,496 snapshots

20–29¢22.7% actually happened

avg price 24.8%488 events1,725 snapshots

30–39¢29.5% actually happened

avg price 34.8%472 events1,658 snapshots

40–49¢34.2% actually happened

avg price 44.6%465 events1,874 snapshots

50–59¢35.4% actually happened

avg price 54.5%433 events1,592 snapshots

60–69¢40.0% actually happened

avg price 63.4%321 events814 snapshots

70–79¢56.3% actually happened

avg price 72.7%78 events96 snapshots

80–89¢77.1% actually happened

avg price 82.4%44 events48 snapshots

90–99¢97.3% actually happened

avg price 98.8%512 events5,001 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢4.1%3.5%5168,647

10–19¢12.9%9.0%5103,496

20–29¢24.8%22.7%4881,725

30–39¢34.8%29.5%4721,658

40–49¢44.6%34.2%4651,874

50–59¢54.5%35.4%4331,592

60–69¢63.4%40.0%321814

70–79¢72.7%56.3%7896

80–89¢82.4%77.1%4448

90–99¢98.8%97.3%5125,001