Professional Baseball Game

KXMLBGAME · Sports

3,449 events3,540 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢3.4% actually happened

avg price 5.0%206 events206 snapshots

10–19¢13.0% actually happened

avg price 14.4%184 events184 snapshots

20–29¢26.8% actually happened

avg price 24.5%142 events142 snapshots

30–39¢30.9% actually happened

avg price 34.5%149 events149 snapshots

40–49¢41.5% actually happened

avg price 44.5%187 events188 snapshots

50–59¢56.8% actually happened

avg price 54.7%173 events190 snapshots

60–69¢66.4% actually happened

avg price 64.5%152 events152 snapshots

70–79¢71.9% actually happened

avg price 74.2%139 events139 snapshots

80–89¢85.0% actually happened

avg price 84.3%173 events173 snapshots

90–99¢95.5% actually happened

avg price 94.7%247 events247 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢5.0%3.4%206206

10–19¢14.4%13.0%184184

20–29¢24.5%26.8%142142

30–39¢34.5%30.9%149149

40–49¢44.5%41.5%187188

50–59¢54.7%56.8%173190

60–69¢64.5%66.4%152152

70–79¢74.2%71.9%139139

80–89¢84.3%85.0%173173

90–99¢94.7%95.5%247247