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Professional Baseball Game

KXMLBGAME · Sports
3,449 events3,540 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢3.4% actually happened
avg price 5.0%206 events206 snapshots
10–19¢13.0% actually happened
avg price 14.4%184 events184 snapshots
20–29¢26.8% actually happened
avg price 24.5%142 events142 snapshots
30–39¢30.9% actually happened
avg price 34.5%149 events149 snapshots
40–49¢41.5% actually happened
avg price 44.5%187 events188 snapshots
50–59¢56.8% actually happened
avg price 54.7%173 events190 snapshots
60–69¢66.4% actually happened
avg price 64.5%152 events152 snapshots
70–79¢71.9% actually happened
avg price 74.2%139 events139 snapshots
80–89¢85.0% actually happened
avg price 84.3%173 events173 snapshots
90–99¢95.5% actually happened
avg price 94.7%247 events247 snapshots