First 7 Innings Winner

KXMLBF7 · Sports

468 events516 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.

Contracts averaging 89¢ resolved YES 55.6% of the time (k=35).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢6.2%11.5%2226

10–19¢13.7%13.3%110113

20–29¢24.1%17.6%1717

30–39¢35.8%39.5%4143

40–49¢44.4%51.1%6388

50–59¢52.8%53.7%5454

60–69¢65.6%61.5%1313

70–79¢74.3%66.7%33

80–89¢84.7%38.5%1313

90–99¢93.3%65.0%1920