First 7 Innings Winner

KXMLBF7 · Sports

468 events516 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.

Contracts averaging 89¢ resolved YES 55.6% of the time (k=35).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢11.5% actually happened

avg price 6.2%22 events26 snapshots

10–19¢13.3% actually happened

avg price 13.7%110 events113 snapshots

20–29¢17.6% actually happened

avg price 24.1%17 events17 snapshots

30–39¢39.5% actually happened

avg price 35.8%41 events43 snapshots

40–49¢51.1% actually happened

avg price 44.4%63 events88 snapshots

50–59¢53.7% actually happened

avg price 52.8%54 events54 snapshots

60–69¢61.5% actually happened

avg price 65.6%13 events13 snapshots

70–79¢66.7% actually happened

avg price 74.3%3 events3 snapshots

80–89¢38.5% actually happened

avg price 84.7%13 events13 snapshots

90–99¢65.0% actually happened

avg price 93.3%19 events20 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢6.2%11.5%2226

10–19¢13.7%13.3%110113

20–29¢24.1%17.6%1717

30–39¢35.8%39.5%4143

40–49¢44.4%51.1%6388

50–59¢52.8%53.7%5454

60–69¢65.6%61.5%1313

70–79¢74.3%66.7%33

80–89¢84.7%38.5%1313

90–99¢93.3%65.0%1920