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First 7 Innings Winner

KXMLBF7 · Sports
468 events516 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.
Contracts averaging 89¢ resolved YES 55.6% of the time (k=35).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢11.5% actually happened
avg price 6.2%22 events26 snapshots
10–19¢13.3% actually happened
avg price 13.7%110 events113 snapshots
20–29¢17.6% actually happened
avg price 24.1%17 events17 snapshots
30–39¢39.5% actually happened
avg price 35.8%41 events43 snapshots
40–49¢51.1% actually happened
avg price 44.4%63 events88 snapshots
50–59¢53.7% actually happened
avg price 52.8%54 events54 snapshots
60–69¢61.5% actually happened
avg price 65.6%13 events13 snapshots
70–79¢66.7% actually happened
avg price 74.3%3 events3 snapshots
80–89¢38.5% actually happened
avg price 84.7%13 events13 snapshots
90–99¢65.0% actually happened
avg price 93.3%19 events20 snapshots