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First 5 Innings Total

KXMLBF5TOTAL · Sports
6,870 events8,055 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Cheap contracts here resolved well above their price — historically underpriced.
Contracts averaging 21¢ resolved YES 29.6% of the time (k=710).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢30.0% actually happened
avg price 5.3%34 events50 snapshots
10–19¢30.8% actually happened
avg price 15.4%176 events208 snapshots
20–29¢29.2% actually happened
avg price 24.8%500 events566 snapshots
30–39¢32.2% actually happened
avg price 34.4%642 events718 snapshots
40–49¢43.8% actually happened
avg price 44.1%606 events649 snapshots
50–59¢53.5% actually happened
avg price 54.6%536 events555 snapshots
60–69¢64.2% actually happened
avg price 64.5%545 events576 snapshots
70–79¢74.8% actually happened
avg price 74.8%588 events628 snapshots
80–89¢83.6% actually happened
avg price 85.0%671 events774 snapshots
90–99¢96.0% actually happened
avg price 96.2%792 events1,437 snapshots