First 5 Innings Total

KXMLBF5TOTAL · Sports

6,870 events8,055 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Cheap contracts here resolved well above their price — historically underpriced.

Contracts averaging 21¢ resolved YES 29.6% of the time (k=710).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢30.0% actually happened

avg price 5.3%34 events50 snapshots

10–19¢30.8% actually happened

avg price 15.4%176 events208 snapshots

20–29¢29.2% actually happened

avg price 24.8%500 events566 snapshots

30–39¢32.2% actually happened

avg price 34.4%642 events718 snapshots

40–49¢43.8% actually happened

avg price 44.1%606 events649 snapshots

50–59¢53.5% actually happened

avg price 54.6%536 events555 snapshots

60–69¢64.2% actually happened

avg price 64.5%545 events576 snapshots

70–79¢74.8% actually happened

avg price 74.8%588 events628 snapshots

80–89¢83.6% actually happened

avg price 85.0%671 events774 snapshots

90–99¢96.0% actually happened

avg price 96.2%792 events1,437 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢5.3%30.0%3450

10–19¢15.4%30.8%176208

20–29¢24.8%29.2%500566

30–39¢34.4%32.2%642718

40–49¢44.1%43.8%606649

50–59¢54.6%53.5%536555

60–69¢64.5%64.2%545576

70–79¢74.8%74.8%588628

80–89¢85.0%83.6%671774

90–99¢96.2%96.0%7921,437