First 5 Innings Winner

KXMLBF5 · Sports

3,307 events3,752 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢5.3%10.4%92135

10–19¢15.5%16.1%647679

20–29¢23.8%22.8%240263

30–39¢35.5%33.7%406419

40–49¢44.3%42.6%439659

50–59¢53.5%43.1%259262

60–69¢64.1%57.0%98100

70–79¢74.7%68.3%5960

80–89¢84.2%81.6%4949

90–99¢94.6%93.8%3232