First 5 Innings Winner

KXMLBF5 · Sports

3,307 events3,752 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢10.4% actually happened

avg price 5.3%92 events135 snapshots

10–19¢16.1% actually happened

avg price 15.5%647 events679 snapshots

20–29¢22.8% actually happened

avg price 23.8%240 events263 snapshots

30–39¢33.7% actually happened

avg price 35.5%406 events419 snapshots

40–49¢42.6% actually happened

avg price 44.3%439 events659 snapshots

50–59¢43.1% actually happened

avg price 53.5%259 events262 snapshots

60–69¢57.0% actually happened

avg price 64.1%98 events100 snapshots

70–79¢68.3% actually happened

avg price 74.7%59 events60 snapshots

80–89¢81.6% actually happened

avg price 84.2%49 events49 snapshots

90–99¢93.8% actually happened

avg price 94.6%32 events32 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢5.3%10.4%92135

10–19¢15.5%16.1%647679

20–29¢23.8%22.8%240263

30–39¢35.5%33.7%406419

40–49¢44.3%42.6%439659

50–59¢53.5%43.1%259262

60–69¢64.1%57.0%98100

70–79¢74.7%68.3%5960

80–89¢84.2%81.6%4949

90–99¢94.6%93.8%3232