First 3 Innings Winner

KXMLBF3 · Sports

444 events513 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 2.3%3 events4 snapshots

10–19¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 16.8%4 events4 snapshots

20–29¢26.3% actually happened

avg price 24.6%107 events114 snapshots

30–39¢27.8% actually happened

avg price 35.1%116 events151 snapshots

40–49¢47.8% actually happened

avg price 43.7%103 events113 snapshots

50–59¢60.0% actually happened

avg price 52.6%19 events20 snapshots

60–69¢25.0% actually happened

avg price 64.0%3 events4 snapshots

70–79¢25.0% actually happened

avg price 73.3%3 events4 snapshots

90–99¢42.9% actually happened

avg price 98.7%5 events7 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢2.3%0.0%34

10–19¢16.8%50.0%44

20–29¢24.6%26.3%107114

30–39¢35.1%27.8%116151

40–49¢43.7%47.8%103113

50–59¢52.6%60.0%1920

60–69¢64.0%25.0%34

70–79¢73.3%25.0%34

90–99¢98.7%42.9%57