MLB Extra Innings

KXMLBEXTRAS · Sports

1,417 events1,417 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 42¢ resolved YES 18.2% of the time (k=33).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢6.5% actually happened

avg price 5.5%416 events416 snapshots

10–19¢6.5% actually happened

avg price 12.5%215 events215 snapshots

20–29¢5.3% actually happened

avg price 22.7%57 events57 snapshots

30–39¢5.3% actually happened

avg price 32.8%19 events19 snapshots

40–49¢40.0% actually happened

avg price 45.0%5 events5 snapshots

50–59¢25.0% actually happened

avg price 53.5%4 events4 snapshots

60–69¢40.0% actually happened

avg price 67.4%5 events5 snapshots

70–79¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 71.0%1 events1 snapshots

80–89¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 87.6%5 events5 snapshots

90–99¢10.5% actually happened

avg price 97.2%19 events19 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢5.5%6.5%416416

10–19¢12.5%6.5%215215

20–29¢22.7%5.3%5757

30–39¢32.8%5.3%1919

40–49¢45.0%40.0%55

50–59¢53.5%25.0%44

60–69¢67.4%40.0%55

70–79¢71.0%100.0%11

80–89¢87.6%0.0%55

90–99¢97.2%10.5%1919