Low Temperature Seattle

KXLOWTSEA · Climate and Weather

377 events788 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.3% actually happened

avg price 1.3%66 events313 snapshots

10–19¢16.7% actually happened

avg price 13.7%6 events6 snapshots

20–29¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 21.0%1 events1 snapshots

30–39¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 34.8%6 events6 snapshots

40–49¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 44.0%1 events2 snapshots

50–59¢60.0% actually happened

avg price 52.6%4 events5 snapshots

60–69¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 66.0%2 events2 snapshots

70–79¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 72.0%1 events1 snapshots

80–89¢81.8% actually happened

avg price 85.5%11 events11 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 98.4%49 events49 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢1.3%0.3%66313

10–19¢13.7%16.7%66

20–29¢21.0%0.0%11

30–39¢34.8%0.0%66

40–49¢44.0%50.0%12

50–59¢52.6%60.0%45

60–69¢66.0%50.0%22

70–79¢72.0%100.0%11

80–89¢85.5%81.8%1111

90–99¢98.4%100.0%4949