Lowest Temperature SATX

KXLOWTSATX · Climate and Weather

374 events790 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 1.6%66 events318 snapshots

10–19¢12.5% actually happened

avg price 14.0%8 events8 snapshots

20–29¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 23.0%2 events2 snapshots

30–39¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 31.5%2 events2 snapshots

60–69¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 65.5%2 events2 snapshots

70–79¢66.7% actually happened

avg price 75.7%3 events3 snapshots

80–89¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 86.5%2 events2 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 97.5%59 events59 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢1.6%0.0%66318

10–19¢14.0%12.5%88

20–29¢23.0%0.0%22

30–39¢31.5%50.0%22

60–69¢65.5%50.0%22

70–79¢75.7%66.7%33

80–89¢86.5%100.0%22

90–99¢97.5%100.0%5959