Low Temperature Phoenix

KXLOWTPHX · Climate and Weather

340 events783 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 1.2%66 events319 snapshots

10–19¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 14.0%1 events1 snapshots

20–29¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 21.2%4 events5 snapshots

30–39¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 32.0%1 events2 snapshots

60–69¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 63.5%2 events2 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 98.7%64 events64 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢1.2%0.0%66319

10–19¢14.0%0.0%11

20–29¢21.2%0.0%45

30–39¢32.0%0.0%12

60–69¢63.5%100.0%22

90–99¢98.7%100.0%6464