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Low Temperature Phoenix

KXLOWTPHX · Climate and Weather
340 events783 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 1.2%66 events319 snapshots
10–19¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 14.0%1 events1 snapshots
20–29¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 21.2%4 events5 snapshots
30–39¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 32.0%1 events2 snapshots
60–69¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 63.5%2 events2 snapshots
90–99¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 98.7%64 events64 snapshots