Lowest temperature in Philadelphia

KXLOWTPHIL · Climate and Weather

372 events792 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 1.3%66 events311 snapshots

10–19¢20.0% actually happened

avg price 14.2%5 events5 snapshots

20–29¢40.0% actually happened

avg price 23.0%5 events5 snapshots

30–39¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 35.0%4 events4 snapshots

40–49¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 47.0%2 events2 snapshots

50–59¢33.3% actually happened

avg price 57.3%3 events3 snapshots

60–69¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 65.3%4 events4 snapshots

70–79¢66.7% actually happened

avg price 72.8%6 events6 snapshots

80–89¢75.0% actually happened

avg price 87.3%4 events4 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 98.8%52 events52 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢1.3%0.0%66311

10–19¢14.2%20.0%55

20–29¢23.0%40.0%55

30–39¢35.0%0.0%44

40–49¢47.0%50.0%22

50–59¢57.3%33.3%33

60–69¢65.3%50.0%44

70–79¢72.8%66.7%66

80–89¢87.3%75.0%44

90–99¢98.8%100.0%5252