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Lowest temperature in NYC

KXLOWTNYC · Climate and Weather
366 events792 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢0.3% actually happened
avg price 1.2%66 events321 snapshots
10–19¢16.7% actually happened
avg price 14.3%5 events6 snapshots
20–29¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 22.0%2 events2 snapshots
30–39¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 30.0%1 events1 snapshots
70–79¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 76.0%3 events3 snapshots
80–89¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 83.8%5 events5 snapshots
90–99¢96.6% actually happened
avg price 98.2%58 events58 snapshots