Lowest temperature in NYC

KXLOWTNYC · Climate and Weather

366 events792 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.3% actually happened

avg price 1.2%66 events321 snapshots

10–19¢16.7% actually happened

avg price 14.3%5 events6 snapshots

20–29¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 22.0%2 events2 snapshots

30–39¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 30.0%1 events1 snapshots

70–79¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 76.0%3 events3 snapshots

80–89¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 83.8%5 events5 snapshots

90–99¢96.6% actually happened

avg price 98.2%58 events58 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢1.2%0.3%66321

10–19¢14.3%16.7%56

20–29¢22.0%0.0%22

30–39¢30.0%0.0%11

70–79¢76.0%100.0%33

80–89¢83.8%100.0%55

90–99¢98.2%96.6%5858