NOLA Low Temperature

KXLOWTNOLA · Climate and Weather

374 events791 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

“Sure things” here delivered even more than priced in — favorites were historically underpriced.

Contracts averaging 95¢ resolved YES 100.0% of the time (k=63).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 1.5%66 events316 snapshots

10–19¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 14.5%10 events10 snapshots

20–29¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 24.5%4 events4 snapshots

30–39¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 31.0%1 events1 snapshots

50–59¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 51.0%1 events1 snapshots

60–69¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 61.0%1 events1 snapshots

70–79¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 72.5%2 events2 snapshots

80–89¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 85.5%10 events10 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 97.4%51 events51 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢1.5%0.0%66316

10–19¢14.5%0.0%1010

20–29¢24.5%0.0%44

30–39¢31.0%100.0%11

50–59¢51.0%100.0%11

60–69¢61.0%100.0%11

70–79¢72.5%100.0%22

80–89¢85.5%100.0%1010

90–99¢97.4%100.0%5151