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NOLA Low Temperature

KXLOWTNOLA · Climate and Weather
374 events791 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
“Sure things” here delivered even more than priced in — favorites were historically underpriced.
Contracts averaging 95¢ resolved YES 100.0% of the time (k=63).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 1.5%66 events316 snapshots
10–19¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 14.5%10 events10 snapshots
20–29¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 24.5%4 events4 snapshots
30–39¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 31.0%1 events1 snapshots
50–59¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 51.0%1 events1 snapshots
60–69¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 61.0%1 events1 snapshots
70–79¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 72.5%2 events2 snapshots
80–89¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 85.5%10 events10 snapshots
90–99¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 97.4%51 events51 snapshots