Low temperature Minnesota

KXLOWTMIN · Climate and Weather

365 events790 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.3% actually happened

avg price 1.4%66 events316 snapshots

10–19¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 13.7%6 events6 snapshots

20–29¢25.0% actually happened

avg price 23.0%4 events4 snapshots

30–39¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 34.3%3 events3 snapshots

50–59¢66.7% actually happened

avg price 57.0%3 events3 snapshots

60–69¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 66.5%2 events2 snapshots

70–79¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 74.0%1 events1 snapshots

80–89¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 83.2%5 events5 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 97.7%56 events56 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢1.4%0.3%66316

10–19¢13.7%0.0%66

20–29¢23.0%25.0%44

30–39¢34.3%0.0%33

50–59¢57.0%66.7%33

60–69¢66.5%50.0%22

70–79¢74.0%0.0%11

80–89¢83.2%100.0%55

90–99¢97.7%100.0%5656