Lowest temperature in Miami

KXLOWTMIA · Climate and Weather

365 events779 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.3% actually happened

avg price 1.3%65 events310 snapshots

10–19¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 12.0%7 events7 snapshots

20–29¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 22.0%4 events4 snapshots

30–39¢33.3% actually happened

avg price 37.0%2 events3 snapshots

40–49¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 45.0%1 events1 snapshots

50–59¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 57.0%2 events2 snapshots

60–69¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 66.5%2 events2 snapshots

80–89¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 86.3%3 events3 snapshots

90–99¢98.3% actually happened

avg price 97.3%58 events58 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢1.3%0.3%65310

10–19¢12.0%0.0%77

20–29¢22.0%0.0%44

30–39¢37.0%33.3%23

40–49¢45.0%0.0%11

50–59¢57.0%50.0%22

60–69¢66.5%100.0%22

80–89¢86.3%100.0%33

90–99¢97.3%98.3%5858