Low Temperature Houston

KXLOWTHOU · Climate and Weather

372 events791 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 1.5%66 events317 snapshots

10–19¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 12.0%5 events5 snapshots

20–29¢16.7% actually happened

avg price 24.3%6 events6 snapshots

30–39¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 37.0%1 events1 snapshots

40–49¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 48.5%2 events2 snapshots

50–59¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 52.0%1 events1 snapshots

60–69¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 61.0%1 events1 snapshots

70–79¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 70.0%2 events2 snapshots

80–89¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 86.6%5 events5 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 97.4%56 events56 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢1.5%0.0%66317

10–19¢12.0%0.0%55

20–29¢24.3%16.7%66

30–39¢37.0%0.0%11

40–49¢48.5%0.0%22

50–59¢52.0%100.0%11

60–69¢61.0%100.0%11

70–79¢70.0%100.0%22

80–89¢86.6%100.0%55

90–99¢97.4%100.0%5656