Lowest temperature in Denver

KXLOWTDEN · Climate and Weather

381 events791 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.3% actually happened

avg price 1.4%66 events314 snapshots

10–19¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 15.4%5 events5 snapshots

20–29¢33.3% actually happened

avg price 24.0%6 events6 snapshots

30–39¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 34.5%1 events2 snapshots

40–49¢75.0% actually happened

avg price 47.5%4 events4 snapshots

50–59¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 51.0%2 events2 snapshots

60–69¢66.7% actually happened

avg price 63.3%3 events3 snapshots

70–79¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 74.5%2 events2 snapshots

80–89¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 86.0%4 events4 snapshots

90–99¢98.1% actually happened

avg price 97.4%54 events54 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢1.4%0.3%66314

10–19¢15.4%0.0%55

20–29¢24.0%33.3%66

30–39¢34.5%0.0%12

40–49¢47.5%75.0%44

50–59¢51.0%0.0%22

60–69¢63.3%66.7%33

70–79¢74.5%50.0%22

80–89¢86.0%100.0%44

90–99¢97.4%98.1%5454