Lowest Temperature DC

KXLOWTDC · Climate and Weather

383 events791 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 1.3%66 events302 snapshots

10–19¢7.7% actually happened

avg price 14.5%12 events13 snapshots

20–29¢28.6% actually happened

avg price 24.4%6 events7 snapshots

30–39¢16.7% actually happened

avg price 33.8%5 events6 snapshots

40–49¢33.3% actually happened

avg price 44.0%3 events3 snapshots

50–59¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 57.0%1 events1 snapshots

60–69¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 64.8%4 events4 snapshots

70–79¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 73.0%4 events4 snapshots

80–89¢85.7% actually happened

avg price 84.1%7 events7 snapshots

90–99¢98.0% actually happened

avg price 98.1%49 events49 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢1.3%0.0%66302

10–19¢14.5%7.7%1213

20–29¢24.4%28.6%67

30–39¢33.8%16.7%56

40–49¢44.0%33.3%33

50–59¢57.0%100.0%11

60–69¢64.8%50.0%44

70–79¢73.0%100.0%44

80–89¢84.1%85.7%77

90–99¢98.1%98.0%4949