Low Temperature Boston

KXLOWTBOS · Climate and Weather

325 events792 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.3% actually happened

avg price 1.3%66 events324 snapshots

10–19¢20.0% actually happened

avg price 12.8%5 events5 snapshots

30–39¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 30.0%1 events1 snapshots

80–89¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 84.5%2 events2 snapshots

90–99¢98.4% actually happened

avg price 98.4%64 events64 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢1.3%0.3%66324

10–19¢12.8%20.0%55

30–39¢30.0%0.0%11

80–89¢84.5%50.0%22

90–99¢98.4%98.4%6464