Lowest temperature in Austin

KXLOWTAUS · Climate and Weather

372 events792 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 1.3%66 events317 snapshots

10–19¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 12.3%6 events6 snapshots

20–29¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 24.8%4 events4 snapshots

30–39¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 33.7%3 events3 snapshots

40–49¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 43.0%1 events1 snapshots

60–69¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 63.0%1 events1 snapshots

80–89¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 84.0%3 events3 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 97.7%61 events61 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢1.3%0.0%66317

10–19¢12.3%0.0%66

20–29¢24.8%0.0%44

30–39¢33.7%0.0%33

40–49¢43.0%100.0%11

60–69¢63.0%100.0%11

80–89¢84.0%100.0%33

90–99¢97.7%100.0%6161