La Liga Spread

KXLALIGASPREAD · Sports

230 events355 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢2.1% actually happened

avg price 3.9%40 events97 snapshots

10–19¢5.7% actually happened

avg price 12.9%27 events35 snapshots

20–29¢12.5% actually happened

avg price 23.5%16 events16 snapshots

30–39¢44.4% actually happened

avg price 33.1%9 events9 snapshots

40–49¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 41.0%2 events2 snapshots

60–69¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 61.0%1 events1 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢3.9%2.1%4097

10–19¢12.9%5.7%2735

20–29¢23.5%12.5%1616

30–39¢33.1%44.4%99

40–49¢41.0%100.0%22

60–69¢61.0%100.0%11