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La Liga Spread

KXLALIGASPREAD · Sports
230 events355 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢2.1% actually happened
avg price 3.9%40 events97 snapshots
10–19¢5.7% actually happened
avg price 12.9%27 events35 snapshots
20–29¢12.5% actually happened
avg price 23.5%16 events16 snapshots
30–39¢44.4% actually happened
avg price 33.1%9 events9 snapshots
40–49¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 41.0%2 events2 snapshots
60–69¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 61.0%1 events1 snapshots