La Liga First Half Winner

KXLALIGA1H · Sports

249 events279 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Cheap contracts here resolved well below their price — longshot buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 23¢ resolved YES 17.1% of the time (k=37).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 9.0%1 events1 snapshots

10–19¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 16.7%7 events7 snapshots

20–29¢21.2% actually happened

avg price 24.3%29 events33 snapshots

30–39¢34.1% actually happened

avg price 34.6%34 events41 snapshots

40–49¢43.8% actually happened

avg price 43.4%30 events32 snapshots

50–59¢80.0% actually happened

avg price 52.4%5 events5 snapshots

60–69¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 60.0%1 events1 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢9.0%0.0%11

10–19¢16.7%0.0%77

20–29¢24.3%21.2%2933

30–39¢34.6%34.1%3441

40–49¢43.4%43.8%3032

50–59¢52.4%80.0%55

60–69¢60.0%100.0%11