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La Liga First Half Winner

KXLALIGA1H · Sports
249 events279 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Cheap contracts here resolved well below their price — longshot buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 23¢ resolved YES 17.1% of the time (k=37).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 9.0%1 events1 snapshots
10–19¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 16.7%7 events7 snapshots
20–29¢21.2% actually happened
avg price 24.3%29 events33 snapshots
30–39¢34.1% actually happened
avg price 34.6%34 events41 snapshots
40–49¢43.8% actually happened
avg price 43.4%30 events32 snapshots
50–59¢80.0% actually happened
avg price 52.4%5 events5 snapshots
60–69¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 60.0%1 events1 snapshots