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La Liga First Half Winner

KXLALIGA1H · Sports
249 events279 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Cheap contracts here resolved well below their price — longshot buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 23¢ resolved YES 17.1% of the time (k=37).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots
19¢9.0%0.0%11
1019¢16.7%0.0%77
2029¢24.3%21.2%2933
3039¢34.6%34.1%3441
4049¢43.4%43.8%3032
5059¢52.4%80.0%55
6069¢60.0%100.0%11