KBO Spread

KXKBOSPREAD · Sports

638 events851 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 44¢ resolved YES 38.7% of the time (k=187).

“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.

Contracts averaging 85¢ resolved YES 76.3% of the time (k=118).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢6.9% actually happened

avg price 2.6%109 events174 snapshots

10–19¢12.2% actually happened

avg price 13.6%91 events123 snapshots

20–29¢23.5% actually happened

avg price 24.4%78 events115 snapshots

30–39¢29.9% actually happened

avg price 34.9%73 events97 snapshots

40–49¢48.6% actually happened

avg price 44.7%63 events72 snapshots

50–59¢45.5% actually happened

avg price 53.5%29 events33 snapshots

60–69¢34.8% actually happened

avg price 64.9%22 events23 snapshots

70–79¢61.5% actually happened

avg price 75.3%53 events65 snapshots

80–89¢94.4% actually happened

avg price 84.7%16 events18 snapshots

90–99¢85.5% actually happened

avg price 95.3%49 events69 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢2.6%6.9%109174

10–19¢13.6%12.2%91123

20–29¢24.4%23.5%78115

30–39¢34.9%29.9%7397

40–49¢44.7%48.6%6372

50–59¢53.5%45.5%2933

60–69¢64.9%34.8%2223

70–79¢75.3%61.5%5365

80–89¢84.7%94.4%1618

90–99¢95.3%85.5%4969