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KBO Spread

KXKBOSPREAD · Sports
638 events851 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 44¢ resolved YES 38.7% of the time (k=187).
“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.
Contracts averaging 85¢ resolved YES 76.3% of the time (k=118).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢6.9% actually happened
avg price 2.6%109 events174 snapshots
10–19¢12.2% actually happened
avg price 13.6%91 events123 snapshots
20–29¢23.5% actually happened
avg price 24.4%78 events115 snapshots
30–39¢29.9% actually happened
avg price 34.9%73 events97 snapshots
40–49¢48.6% actually happened
avg price 44.7%63 events72 snapshots
50–59¢45.5% actually happened
avg price 53.5%29 events33 snapshots
60–69¢34.8% actually happened
avg price 64.9%22 events23 snapshots
70–79¢61.5% actually happened
avg price 75.3%53 events65 snapshots
80–89¢94.4% actually happened
avg price 84.7%16 events18 snapshots
90–99¢85.5% actually happened
avg price 95.3%49 events69 snapshots