Weekly initial jobless claims

KXJOBLESSCLAIMS · Economics

101 events170 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Not enough settled history here to judge.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢3.8% actually happened

avg price 4.4%9 events26 snapshots

10–19¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 14.0%5 events6 snapshots

20–29¢40.0% actually happened

avg price 26.4%4 events5 snapshots

40–49¢60.0% actually happened

avg price 43.8%5 events5 snapshots

50–59¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 57.7%2 events3 snapshots

60–69¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 64.7%3 events3 snapshots

70–79¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 74.7%3 events3 snapshots

80–89¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 85.0%7 events10 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 95.4%9 events25 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢4.4%3.8%926

10–19¢14.0%0.0%56

20–29¢26.4%40.0%45

40–49¢43.8%60.0%55

50–59¢57.7%0.0%23

60–69¢64.7%100.0%33

70–79¢74.7%100.0%33

80–89¢85.0%100.0%710

90–99¢95.4%100.0%925