Japan J League Game

KXJLEAGUEGAME · Sports

248 events306 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Cheap contracts here resolved well below their price — longshot buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 16¢ resolved YES 8.3% of the time (k=68).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 5.8%17 events21 snapshots

10–19¢4.2% actually happened

avg price 15.8%24 events24 snapshots

20–29¢18.5% actually happened

avg price 24.7%27 events27 snapshots

30–39¢33.3% actually happened

avg price 35.1%26 events36 snapshots

40–49¢56.3% actually happened

avg price 42.8%15 events16 snapshots

50–59¢66.7% actually happened

avg price 52.2%6 events6 snapshots

60–69¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 65.5%6 events6 snapshots

70–79¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 74.7%9 events9 snapshots

80–89¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 82.5%4 events4 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 92.5%4 events4 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢5.8%0.0%1721

10–19¢15.8%4.2%2424

20–29¢24.7%18.5%2727

30–39¢35.1%33.3%2636

40–49¢42.8%56.3%1516

50–59¢52.2%66.7%66

60–69¢65.5%50.0%66

70–79¢74.7%100.0%99

80–89¢82.5%100.0%44

90–99¢92.5%100.0%44