← All series

ITF Men's Match

KXITFMATCH · Sports
11,510 events11,774 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.
Contracts averaging 85¢ resolved YES 79.5% of the time (k=3,861).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots
1–9¢5.7%9.2%810811
10–19¢14.5%14.8%1,3061,306
20–29¢24.5%25.9%1,1481,149
30–39¢34.6%34.7%1,0351,036
40–49¢44.5%42.1%1,0431,067
50–59¢54.4%53.4%9371,104
60–69¢64.6%61.4%1,1251,140
70–79¢74.7%71.3%1,1171,139
80–89¢84.5%81.6%1,3981,399
90–99¢94.4%84.0%1,3461,375