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ITF Men's Match

KXITFMATCH · Sports
11,510 events11,774 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.
Contracts averaging 85¢ resolved YES 79.5% of the time (k=3,861).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢9.2% actually happened
avg price 5.7%810 events811 snapshots
10–19¢14.8% actually happened
avg price 14.5%1,306 events1,306 snapshots
20–29¢25.9% actually happened
avg price 24.5%1,148 events1,149 snapshots
30–39¢34.7% actually happened
avg price 34.6%1,035 events1,036 snapshots
40–49¢42.1% actually happened
avg price 44.5%1,043 events1,067 snapshots
50–59¢53.4% actually happened
avg price 54.4%937 events1,104 snapshots
60–69¢61.4% actually happened
avg price 64.6%1,125 events1,140 snapshots
70–79¢71.3% actually happened
avg price 74.7%1,117 events1,139 snapshots
80–89¢81.6% actually happened
avg price 84.5%1,398 events1,399 snapshots
90–99¢84.0% actually happened
avg price 94.4%1,346 events1,375 snapshots