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International Friendly Total

KXINTLFRIENDLYTOTAL · Sports
669 events706 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢8.1% actually happened
avg price 4.3%54 events74 snapshots
10–19¢20.3% actually happened
avg price 14.3%61 events64 snapshots
20–29¢25.9% actually happened
avg price 24.4%53 events54 snapshots
30–39¢31.0% actually happened
avg price 34.8%41 events42 snapshots
40–49¢48.6% actually happened
avg price 44.2%36 events37 snapshots
50–59¢69.4% actually happened
avg price 54.9%35 events36 snapshots
60–69¢69.4% actually happened
avg price 64.4%35 events36 snapshots
70–79¢79.1% actually happened
avg price 74.3%42 events43 snapshots
80–89¢85.0% actually happened
avg price 83.5%38 events40 snapshots
90–99¢95.7% actually happened
avg price 96.7%18 events23 snapshots