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International Friendly Spread

KXINTLFRIENDLYSPREAD · Sports
466 events648 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢2.7% actually happened
avg price 3.1%110 events225 snapshots
10–19¢14.3% actually happened
avg price 13.6%41 events49 snapshots
20–29¢24.1% actually happened
avg price 25.2%29 events29 snapshots
30–39¢37.1% actually happened
avg price 34.1%35 events35 snapshots
40–49¢36.8% actually happened
avg price 43.4%19 events19 snapshots
50–59¢50.0% actually happened
avg price 54.3%12 events12 snapshots
60–69¢63.6% actually happened
avg price 63.4%21 events22 snapshots
70–79¢78.6% actually happened
avg price 73.2%14 events14 snapshots
80–89¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 86.3%4 events4 snapshots
90–99¢90.0% actually happened
avg price 96.3%7 events10 snapshots