International Friendly Spread

KXINTLFRIENDLYSPREAD · Sports

466 events648 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢3.1%2.7%110225

10–19¢13.6%14.3%4149

20–29¢25.2%24.1%2929

30–39¢34.1%37.1%3535

40–49¢43.4%36.8%1919

50–59¢54.3%50.0%1212

60–69¢63.4%63.6%2122

70–79¢73.2%78.6%1414

80–89¢86.3%100.0%44

90–99¢96.3%90.0%710