International Friendly Spread

KXINTLFRIENDLYSPREAD · Sports

466 events648 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢2.7% actually happened

avg price 3.1%110 events225 snapshots

10–19¢14.3% actually happened

avg price 13.6%41 events49 snapshots

20–29¢24.1% actually happened

avg price 25.2%29 events29 snapshots

30–39¢37.1% actually happened

avg price 34.1%35 events35 snapshots

40–49¢36.8% actually happened

avg price 43.4%19 events19 snapshots

50–59¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 54.3%12 events12 snapshots

60–69¢63.6% actually happened

avg price 63.4%21 events22 snapshots

70–79¢78.6% actually happened

avg price 73.2%14 events14 snapshots

80–89¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 86.3%4 events4 snapshots

90–99¢90.0% actually happened

avg price 96.3%7 events10 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢3.1%2.7%110225

10–19¢13.6%14.3%4149

20–29¢25.2%24.1%2929

30–39¢34.1%37.1%3535

40–49¢43.4%36.8%1919

50–59¢54.3%50.0%1212

60–69¢63.4%63.6%2122

70–79¢73.2%78.6%1414

80–89¢86.3%100.0%44

90–99¢96.3%90.0%710