International Friendly Game

KXINTLFRIENDLYGAME · Sports

708 events812 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

“Sure things” here delivered even more than priced in — favorites were historically underpriced.

Contracts averaging 86¢ resolved YES 93.2% of the time (k=74).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢2.0% actually happened

avg price 4.2%69 events101 snapshots

10–19¢2.6% actually happened

avg price 14.2%71 events77 snapshots

20–29¢29.9% actually happened

avg price 25.0%61 events67 snapshots

30–39¢47.4% actually happened

avg price 34.2%28 events38 snapshots

40–49¢16.7% actually happened

avg price 44.7%18 events18 snapshots

50–59¢45.0% actually happened

avg price 55.1%19 events20 snapshots

60–69¢72.7% actually happened

avg price 64.6%22 events22 snapshots

70–79¢87.5% actually happened

avg price 74.3%16 events16 snapshots

80–89¢96.4% actually happened

avg price 84.1%28 events28 snapshots

90–99¢93.3% actually happened

avg price 95.2%30 events30 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢4.2%2.0%69101

10–19¢14.2%2.6%7177

20–29¢25.0%29.9%6167

30–39¢34.2%47.4%2838

40–49¢44.7%16.7%1818

50–59¢55.1%45.0%1920

60–69¢64.6%72.7%2222

70–79¢74.3%87.5%1616

80–89¢84.1%96.4%2828

90–99¢95.2%93.3%3030