Premier League First Half Winner

KXEPL1H · Sports

214 events240 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 6.5%2 events2 snapshots

10–19¢10.0% actually happened

avg price 15.5%10 events10 snapshots

20–29¢25.0% actually happened

avg price 24.3%20 events20 snapshots

30–39¢33.3% actually happened

avg price 35.6%27 events33 snapshots

40–49¢43.5% actually happened

avg price 42.4%20 events23 snapshots

50–59¢75.0% actually happened

avg price 56.8%4 events4 snapshots

70–79¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 73.0%1 events1 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢6.5%0.0%22

10–19¢15.5%10.0%1010

20–29¢24.3%25.0%2020

30–39¢35.6%33.3%2733

40–49¢42.4%43.5%2023

50–59¢56.8%75.0%44

70–79¢73.0%100.0%11