Dota 2 Map Winner

KXDOTA2MAP · Sports

1,266 events1,291 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Cheap contracts here resolved well below their price — longshot buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 20¢ resolved YES 14.1% of the time (k=128).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢12.5% actually happened

avg price 3.8%16 events16 snapshots

10–19¢6.1% actually happened

avg price 15.2%33 events33 snapshots

20–29¢17.7% actually happened

avg price 24.9%79 events79 snapshots

30–39¢30.1% actually happened

avg price 35.0%123 events123 snapshots

40–49¢40.3% actually happened

avg price 44.6%148 events149 snapshots

50–59¢58.3% actually happened

avg price 54.7%138 events156 snapshots

60–69¢66.7% actually happened

avg price 64.5%132 events132 snapshots

70–79¢75.3% actually happened

avg price 74.4%93 events93 snapshots

80–89¢89.6% actually happened

avg price 83.8%48 events48 snapshots

90–99¢86.4% actually happened

avg price 95.6%22 events22 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢3.8%12.5%1616

10–19¢15.2%6.1%3333

20–29¢24.9%17.7%7979

30–39¢35.0%30.1%123123

40–49¢44.6%40.3%148149

50–59¢54.7%58.3%138156

60–69¢64.5%66.7%132132

70–79¢74.4%75.3%9393

80–89¢83.8%89.6%4848

90–99¢95.6%86.4%2222