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Dota 2 Map Winner

KXDOTA2MAP · Sports
1,266 events1,291 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Cheap contracts here resolved well below their price — longshot buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 20¢ resolved YES 14.1% of the time (k=128).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢12.5% actually happened
avg price 3.8%16 events16 snapshots
10–19¢6.1% actually happened
avg price 15.2%33 events33 snapshots
20–29¢17.7% actually happened
avg price 24.9%79 events79 snapshots
30–39¢30.1% actually happened
avg price 35.0%123 events123 snapshots
40–49¢40.3% actually happened
avg price 44.6%148 events149 snapshots
50–59¢58.3% actually happened
avg price 54.7%138 events156 snapshots
60–69¢66.7% actually happened
avg price 64.5%132 events132 snapshots
70–79¢75.3% actually happened
avg price 74.4%93 events93 snapshots
80–89¢89.6% actually happened
avg price 83.8%48 events48 snapshots
90–99¢86.4% actually happened
avg price 95.6%22 events22 snapshots