COD Map Winner

KXCODMAP · Sports

767 events785 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.

Contracts averaging 85¢ resolved YES 76.2% of the time (k=101).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢3.8% actually happened

avg price 1.9%25 events26 snapshots

10–19¢17.6% actually happened

avg price 15.4%17 events17 snapshots

20–29¢32.4% actually happened

avg price 24.9%37 events37 snapshots

30–39¢41.3% actually happened

avg price 34.6%46 events46 snapshots

40–49¢35.6% actually happened

avg price 44.2%87 events87 snapshots

50–59¢55.1% actually happened

avg price 54.6%69 events78 snapshots

60–69¢67.7% actually happened

avg price 63.5%62 events62 snapshots

70–79¢61.0% actually happened

avg price 74.0%41 events41 snapshots

80–89¢83.3% actually happened

avg price 84.0%24 events24 snapshots

90–99¢87.5% actually happened

avg price 97.2%36 events40 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢1.9%3.8%2526

10–19¢15.4%17.6%1717

20–29¢24.9%32.4%3737

30–39¢34.6%41.3%4646

40–49¢44.2%35.6%8787

50–59¢54.6%55.1%6978

60–69¢63.5%67.7%6262

70–79¢74.0%61.0%4141

80–89¢84.0%83.3%2424

90–99¢97.2%87.5%3640