Chile Liga de Primera Game

KXCHLLDPGAME · Sports

148 events192 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Cheap contracts here resolved well below their price — longshot buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 15¢ resolved YES 9.1% of the time (k=38).

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well above their price — historically underpriced.

Contracts averaging 41¢ resolved YES 47.6% of the time (k=31).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢6.7% actually happened

avg price 4.1%10 events15 snapshots

10–19¢18.2% actually happened

avg price 14.2%11 events11 snapshots

20–29¢5.6% actually happened

avg price 25.3%17 events18 snapshots

30–39¢42.3% actually happened

avg price 34.7%15 events26 snapshots

40–49¢44.4% actually happened

avg price 43.0%9 events9 snapshots

50–59¢33.3% actually happened

avg price 57.0%3 events3 snapshots

60–69¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 64.8%4 events4 snapshots

70–79¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 75.5%2 events2 snapshots

80–89¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 82.7%3 events3 snapshots

90–99¢80.0% actually happened

avg price 95.8%5 events5 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢4.1%6.7%1015

10–19¢14.2%18.2%1111

20–29¢25.3%5.6%1718

30–39¢34.7%42.3%1526

40–49¢43.0%44.4%99

50–59¢57.0%33.3%33

60–69¢64.8%100.0%44

70–79¢75.5%50.0%22

80–89¢82.7%100.0%33

90–99¢95.8%80.0%55