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Chile Liga de Primera Game

KXCHLLDPGAME · Sports
148 events192 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Cheap contracts here resolved well below their price — longshot buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 15¢ resolved YES 9.1% of the time (k=38).
Mid-priced contracts here resolved well above their price — historically underpriced.
Contracts averaging 41¢ resolved YES 47.6% of the time (k=31).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢6.7% actually happened
avg price 4.1%10 events15 snapshots
10–19¢18.2% actually happened
avg price 14.2%11 events11 snapshots
20–29¢5.6% actually happened
avg price 25.3%17 events18 snapshots
30–39¢42.3% actually happened
avg price 34.7%15 events26 snapshots
40–49¢44.4% actually happened
avg price 43.0%9 events9 snapshots
50–59¢33.3% actually happened
avg price 57.0%3 events3 snapshots
60–69¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 64.8%4 events4 snapshots
70–79¢50.0% actually happened
avg price 75.5%2 events2 snapshots
80–89¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 82.7%3 events3 snapshots
90–99¢80.0% actually happened
avg price 95.8%5 events5 snapshots