Bundesliga Spread

KXBUNDESLIGASPREAD · Sports

123 events172 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢2.5% actually happened

avg price 3.7%20 events40 snapshots

10–19¢20.0% actually happened

avg price 13.9%10 events15 snapshots

20–29¢44.4% actually happened

avg price 23.4%9 events9 snapshots

30–39¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 34.0%6 events6 snapshots

40–49¢25.0% actually happened

avg price 43.0%4 events4 snapshots

50–59¢33.3% actually happened

avg price 55.3%3 events3 snapshots

70–79¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 78.0%1 events1 snapshots

80–89¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 84.0%1 events1 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 92.0%1 events1 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢3.7%2.5%2040

10–19¢13.9%20.0%1015

20–29¢23.4%44.4%99

30–39¢34.0%50.0%66

40–49¢43.0%25.0%44

50–59¢55.3%33.3%33

70–79¢78.0%100.0%11

80–89¢84.0%0.0%11

90–99¢92.0%100.0%11