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ATP Set Winner

KXATPSETWINNER · Sports
5,991 events6,109 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢6.1% actually happened
avg price 3.6%49 events49 snapshots
10–19¢21.3% actually happened
avg price 15.8%141 events141 snapshots
20–29¢23.5% actually happened
avg price 25.4%307 events307 snapshots
30–39¢34.0% actually happened
avg price 34.8%606 events606 snapshots
40–49¢45.3% actually happened
avg price 44.3%736 events748 snapshots
50–59¢53.7% actually happened
avg price 54.8%682 events748 snapshots
60–69¢63.6% actually happened
avg price 64.3%681 events684 snapshots
70–79¢74.7% actually happened
avg price 73.8%336 events336 snapshots
80–89¢78.7% actually happened
avg price 83.7%164 events164 snapshots
90–99¢82.1% actually happened
avg price 94.8%84 events84 snapshots