ATP Tennis Match

KXATPMATCH · Sports

2,820 events2,853 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢9.2% actually happened

avg price 6.0%109 events109 snapshots

10–19¢18.3% actually happened

avg price 15.0%153 events153 snapshots

20–29¢23.8% actually happened

avg price 24.2%168 events168 snapshots

30–39¢35.2% actually happened

avg price 34.4%247 events247 snapshots

40–49¢44.3% actually happened

avg price 44.5%176 events176 snapshots

50–59¢55.7% actually happened

avg price 54.4%160 events183 snapshots

60–69¢59.5% actually happened

avg price 64.6%232 events232 snapshots

70–79¢78.1% actually happened

avg price 74.3%187 events187 snapshots

80–89¢78.2% actually happened

avg price 84.1%174 events174 snapshots

90–99¢89.7% actually happened

avg price 94.1%126 events126 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢6.0%9.2%109109

10–19¢15.0%18.3%153153

20–29¢24.2%23.8%168168

30–39¢34.4%35.2%247247

40–49¢44.5%44.3%176176

50–59¢54.4%55.7%160183

60–69¢64.6%59.5%232232

70–79¢74.3%78.1%187187

80–89¢84.1%78.2%174174

90–99¢94.1%89.7%126126