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ATP Tennis Match

KXATPMATCH · Sports
2,820 events2,853 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢9.2% actually happened
avg price 6.0%109 events109 snapshots
10–19¢18.3% actually happened
avg price 15.0%153 events153 snapshots
20–29¢23.8% actually happened
avg price 24.2%168 events168 snapshots
30–39¢35.2% actually happened
avg price 34.4%247 events247 snapshots
40–49¢44.3% actually happened
avg price 44.5%176 events176 snapshots
50–59¢55.7% actually happened
avg price 54.4%160 events183 snapshots
60–69¢59.5% actually happened
avg price 64.6%232 events232 snapshots
70–79¢78.1% actually happened
avg price 74.3%187 events187 snapshots
80–89¢78.2% actually happened
avg price 84.1%174 events174 snapshots
90–99¢89.7% actually happened
avg price 94.1%126 events126 snapshots